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Farm Policy
Farm Management Webinars Announced
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Taxpayer Relief Act of 2012- What does it mean to Ohio Farmers?
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Crop Input Outlook 2013
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2013 Agricultural Policy and Outlook Conference Preview Meeting – December 3, 2012
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ACRE Payments not Probable in Ohio for 2012
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Some of the Major Changes in U.S. Agriculture and the Forces Influencing the Agricultural Economy in the Past Half Century
By: Luther Tweeten, Emeritus Chaired Professor, Department of Agricultural, Environmental, and Development Economics, Ohio State University
The era of falling real price of food is over.
Two “megatrends” are underway, one on the food supply side and another on the food demand side.
First look at food supply. I measure excess production capacity in U.S. agriculture as the surplus of production over market utilization at politically acceptable prices--calculated by adding up production removed by government acreage diversion, net stock accumulation, and the portion of exports due to government subsidies. U.S. excess production capacity totaled 6 percent in 1962 and averaged near that proportion throughout the 1960s (Tweeten 1989). In sharp contrast, excess production capacity in U.S. agriculture today is near zero. As argued later, the rest of the world also has little excess production capacity. World agricultural resources will be challenged indeed to provide food, fiber, and bioenergy in future years without major price increases! The 2012 drought is transitory, but, if the preponderance of today’s climatologists are correct in their judgments, global warming is secularly underway with attendant unusual weather events such as storms and drought. Of greater concern is the falling percentage rate of increase in agricultural yield an...Read More »
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